History is back

A great problem with too many of us is that, subconsciously or otherwise, we bought into this idea that the tectonic political changes of 1989 had brought about a world where the rules had changed. This is the essence of Francis Fukuyama’s treatise “The End of History,” but the problem went even further. We began to believe that the normal rules that applied to business, to markets, and to nations no longer applied.

In the end, we will find that history does not end, even if sometimes it seems to take a sabbatical. Despite a flirtation with the contrary, the past decade has proven that the world is not on a path to liberal democracy and global markets: Russia is still the rapacious yet insecure bear; that China is still the nation and culture of Confucius, Mencius, Sunzi, and Mao; that businesses must still make money; nationalism still trumps globalism; and that markets cannot soar forever purely based on exuberance and a near-term lack of better investment alternatives.

History is back, and if you don’t watch out, it will maul you. It’s a great time to be an historian.

 

Foxconn

Watching what is happening at the Foxconn factory in Zhengzhou, I am left wondering how many bosses of state-owned enterprises are secretly delighted to watch Foxconn take this hit. Whatever Foxconn’s faults may be, they are one of the largest private enterprises in China, and this could well be the beginning of the end for their business in the PRC.

Here is the big question about Disney: how long until Iger is forced to take a big writedown on the company’s investment in its two China theme parks?

Some people just want to watch the world burn. Others make a really good living starting fires or pouring gasoline on them.

Don’t let them do your thinking for you.

Be the light.

A certain pop star claims that a COVID vaccination caused her cousin’s testicles to swell. Either someone is lying, or my vaccine is is not working.

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